A
resurgence in the stock market in the early part of 2001 fizzled
out after Sept 11 but analysts are optimistic that a spate of
state enterprise listings will move the bourse forward again in
2002.
Before Sept
11, the Stock Exchange of Thailand index had gained 27% and
was one of the best performing markets in the world. But after
the attacks, the SET plunged sharply as investors dumped their
holdings amid fears of a global war.
A 10% rebound
in early December was still below the levels set earlier in
the year, but it signalled that the SET had a good opportunity
to pick up further gains next year.
Companies
in several sectors, notably energy, telecommunications and commerce,
recorded gains in their share prices and improvements in corporate
performance after successfully restructuring debt.
But the
slow pace of local economic recovery, which was influenced by
a slump in export revenues and a global downturn, dragged on
investment sentiment.
Economic
growth this year is forecast at only 1.3-1.8% by the Bank of
Thailand, down from earlier forecasts of 2-3%.
 |
| In
late November, PTT made headlines after selling 220 million
shares to local retail investors in only 85 seconds on the
first day of subscription through 2,600 branches of five
banks. But a lot of complaints were lodged by disappointed
investors, who queued in vain outside banks in the hope
of obtaining shares, about the alleged unfair placement.
The share issue was the country's biggest public share offering.
|
Overall,
falling interest rates did not cause a big shift in money from
depositors to investment in securities, while domestic consumption
remained relatively low.
Still, concerns
linger about non-performing loans in the banking sector, still
waiting to be cleaned-up after the implementation of the Thai
Asset Management Corp.
Average
trading volume on the stock exchange from January to early December
2001 stood at 6.16 billion baht per day, a 62% jump from 2000.
Market capitalisation in early December was 1.49 trillion baht,
up from 1.27 trillion baht in 2000.
The SET
index closed at 304.05 points as of Dec 7, up 12.95% from 269.19
at the end of 2000. The composite index before Sept 11 was at
342.56.
Foreign
investors were said to be staying away from the Thai bourse
and the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) index cut
its benchmark weightings on investment in Thailand.
PRIVATISATION
DRIVE
Analysts
agree that market fundamentals have improved considerably this
year with efforts by the Thaksin Shinawatra government to revive
the bourse. Several measures were implemented to encourage new
listings _ including a speedy privatisation programme, tax incentives
and legal amendments.
Under the
privatisation plan, 16 state enterprises planned to list on
the bourse to raise an additional 800 billion baht in market
capital by 2003.
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|
Internet Thailand's employees prepare
for the company's online IPO. |
The main
objective was to bring in new quality products to the stock
exchange, allow the public to share the wealth of performing
enterprises and maximise state asset values.
After brilliant
marketing campaigns to drum up investor interest, Internet Thailand
and PTT Plc, previously known as the Petroleum
Authority
of Thailand, were the first two in the new wave of state enterprises
to list on the SET.
In early
November, the Inet privatisation and market listing was launched
using an on-line initial public offering through the platform
of Settrade.com. The system was successful with shares oversubscribed
33.3 times against the total 110 million shares available.
The IPO
price of Inet shares was 3.50 baht with a par value of one baht
per share. Inet shares began trading with a 21% jump in share
price on its first day of trading.
Late November,
PTT made headlines after selling 220 million shares to local
retail investors in only 85 seconds on the first day of subscription
through 2,600 branches of five banks.
But a lot
of complaints were lodged by disappointed investors about the
unfair placement of PTT shares, even if it was the fastest share
allotment on record.
The Securities
and Exchange Commission stepped in to investigate the case immediately,
but the investigation is still pending.
The state
oil firm floated a total of 920 million shares to mobilise 32
billion baht from the public, the largest IPO in the country's
history. About 35% of IPO shares were sold to foreign investors.
On Dec 6,
PTT made its listing debut, winning accolades as the stock that
had the largest trading turnover in a single day. The market
capitalisation of PTT is 97.9 billion baht, ranked third after
Advance Info Service and Krung Thai Bank.
However,
PTT shares gave many investors a rude shock when the price fell
below the IPO level of 35 baht on the third day of trading.
Lead underwriters
for PTT have been assigned to stabilise the share price using
the four-billion-baht fund set up under a "greenshoe" option
that runs until Jan 4.
The next
state enterprises to list on the SET in 2002 are the Telephone
Organisation of Thailand and the Communications Authority of
Thailand.
Analysts
believe TOT and CAT will try to follow the success story of
PTT and float shares to the public in less than 90 seconds,
but a conversion of concessions at both agencies are still being
formulated.
Market regulators
announced a cut in corporate tax, from 30% to 25%, for new listings
on the main board and a 20% corporate tax rate for those that
list on the Market for Alternative Investment.
The tax
incentives will be given for five years to companies listed
on the two bourses up until Sept 4, 2004.
Additionally,
a series of rules and requirements were amended to provide flexibility
to listed companies.
In December,
the listing criteria for the SET and the MAI were separated
by the size of paid-up capital. Companies wishing to list on
the main board must have a minimum paid-up capital of 200 million
baht and those below 200 million baht will go to the MAI.
A revision
of the Public Companies Act was also passed, allowing listed
companies to spilt share par values and buy back securities
from the bourse as treasury stocks.
This year
nine new listed companies carried out their IPOs compared to
only one, from Ratchaburi Holding Plc, 2000.
The nine
IPOs were United Securities, Brooker Group, Roynet, Home Products
Centre, Team Precision, Internet Thailand, PTT, Aeon Thana Sinsap
(Thailand) and Nava Leasing.
Among those
companies, only Brooker Group, Roynet and Team Precision were
also listed on the MAI.
IPO fever
is again emerging in the market as investors seek to make gains
from IPO shares. All nine new listings, except Brooker which
began its share trading two days after the Sept 11 attacks,
saw their stock prices stay above IPO levels on the first day
of trading.
REGULATORY
CHALLENGE
During the
first half of this year, the SET's top management was led by
chairman Amaret Sila-on and president Vicharat Vichit-vadakan.
Both of them were not as aggressive as many people expected,
in terms of delivering measures to boost the bear market.
The Investor
Fair in June, which the SET claimed was a great success, attracted
a lot of potential investors but did not immediately bring in
any new investors to the market.
Day traders
and speculators continued to dominate share trading activities
and some irregular trading patterns were found involving Metco,
BankThai and United Securities.
But the
closest the SET came to tackling this problem was to issue an
order to indefinitely suspend trading activities of Yuanta Securities
which was accused of involvement in unusual trading of BankThai
shares in May 2001.
Yuanta Securities
resumed its operations a few days later after improving its
internal control system to comply with the SET's requirements.
Mr Amaret
ended his second two-year term as the SET chairman at the end
of July and Mr Vicharat resigned from the SET presidency on
Sept 1.
High hopes
have been pinned on Chavalit Thanachanan, who was appointed
to replace Mr Amaret, and Kittiratt Na Ranong, who succeeded
Mr Vicharat.
With a more
active management approach, Mr Chavalit and Mr Kittiratt have
escalated the SET's role as a place where both existing and
newly listed firms can mobilise funds to expand their business
at a reasonable cost.
But unfortunately,
both of them had to deal with a sharp decline in the SET index
after the Sept 11 attacks.
However,
Mr Kittiratt has continued his public relation activities, putting
the development of the SET master plan back on the agenda, and
revising many regulations to provide flexibility to listed companies.
In November,
the SET also finalised a new bid-offer spread for share trading
aimed at boosting liquidity and helping investors trade stocks
at lower costs.
In December,
the SET stepped up to solve the brokerage commission problem,
setting the floor rate at 0.25% for all kinds of investors.
This was
a setback for the securities industry which had liberalised
the fees in October 2000.
At the SEC,
many new and amended regulations were also passed such as trustee
and securitisation laws.
In July,
boiler room operations of the Brinton Group and Benson Dupont
Capital Management were raided by the SEC and police, with more
than 100 people arrested.
The case
challenged the power of the SEC in investigating and monitoring
illegal securities firms.
After the
crackdown, many boiler rooms closed but some continue to make
cold calls to attract overseas investors.
In October,
the SEC was widely criticised for helping to clear Prime Minister
Thaksin of any wrongdoing from his share transfer to nominees
between 1995 and 1999, but Mr Thaksin's wife, Khunying Pojamarn
was fined 6.3 million baht over the share transfer.